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"It could take three to five months for bitcoin to re-test recent highs," H.C. Wainwright analyst Mike Colonnese told CNBC. BTC.CM= 3M mountain Bitcoin has fallen 11% this quarter Bitcoin miners offer high beta exposure to bitcoin and have historically outperformed it during bull cycles, he added. Colonnese also pointed out that corrections between 25% and 30% are "par for the course" for bitcoin, even in bull cycles. "Looking at previous price cycles, bitcoin has historically peaked between one to one and a half years after a halving event with the bull stage running longer in each subsequent cycle," Colonnese said. "Assuming a similar duration for this bull stage of the price cycle, bitcoin may not reach its cycle peak until October 2025," Colonnese added.
Persons: it's, bitcoin, Wainwright, Mike Colonnese, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Colonnese, Bitcoin, It's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: U.S, Metrics, CNBC, Wolfe Research
For most investors, holding just one passive global stock market fund and one passive global bond market fund over the long term is the best way to construct a portfolio, the strategists said. While some more time-consuming, complicated strategies may allow for higher returns, this approach gives investors the best all-around bang for their buck, Loeys and Wise said. Our point is instead that we believe you can achieve most, if not all of your financial objectives by following our KISS approach. Two stock funds that do this include the Vanguard Total World Stock Index Fund (VTWAX) and the SPDR Portfolio MSCI Global Stock Market ETF (SPGM). For investors who want to do more with their portfolio, Loeys and Wise suggested dedicating 80%-90% of one's portfolio to the above strategy, and using the other 10%-20% on other investments.
Persons: Jan Loeys, Alexander Wise, Wise, Joeys, Loeys Organizations: JPMorgan, Business, KISS, Index, Stock Market, Bond, Fidelity
While he pulled back his price target to $26 from $32, the new target still indicates shares surging 126% from Wednesday's close. Fox's fiscal third quarter results came above Rief Ehrlich's expectations, which she noted were encouraging "amid a difficult linear advertising environment." — Fred Imbert 5:50 a.m.: Wall Street on the sidelines for Airbnb Airbnb's weaker-than-expected forward guidance has analysts worried about the company's growth outlook. Post pulled back his price target by $8 to $160, just 1.3% above where shares closed on Wednesday. Meanwhile, analyst Eric Sheridan moved his price target slightly higher to $130 from $123, suggesting around 18% downside.
Persons: Raymond James ., Jefferies, Dushyant Ailani, Ailani, — Hakyung Kim, Jessica Reif Ehrlich, … Fox, Davidson downgrades, Davidson, Tom White, Tripadvisor, we'd, White, Hakyung Kim, Raymond James Cheesecake Factory, Raymond James, Brian Vaccaro, Vaccaro, Andrew Boone, Shopify, Boone, Fred Imbert, Airbnb, LSEG, Morgan Stanley, Brian Nowak, Nowak, Bank of America's Justin Post, Post, Goldman Sachs, Eric Sheridan Organizations: CNBC, JPM Securities, Cheesecake, Bank of America, Fox, Media, of America, , Factory, Cheesecake Factory, JMP Securities, Bank of America's Locations: Wednesday's, 2H24
Select Water Solutions will be a winner thanks to its recent business changes, according to Citi. The company, which provides sustainable water services for the oil and gas industry, recently began a strategic pivot toward its water infrastructure business, which is focused on the management and recycling of produced water. The analyst noted that Select Water Solutions is currently trading at a discount to its peers. The company is currently trading at a little over four times its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization over the next 12 months, while its competitor Aris Water Solutions is trading near a 6.5 multiple, he added. Further, the downside risk to slowing demand for frac water appears to have passed with higher oil prices," Gruber said.
Persons: Scott Gruber, Gruber Organizations: Citi, Solutions, Aris Water Solutions, M
Socialites are playing chess on "The Real Housewives of New York City." In 1990, according to the US Chess Federation, only 4% of chess players were women. Out in the world, chess' resurgence has been accompanied by a wave of new clubs and events. I made a pilgrimage to the Marshall Chess Club, a 109-year-old institution in Greenwich Village. The following evening, I went to an East Village bar and found a very different scene at Club Chess.
Persons: we'd, she'd, I'd, festers, Judit Polgár, Gary Kasparov, , Juliana Gallin, Jennifer Shahade, Alejandro Ramírez, Ramírez —, Ramírez, Shahade, Levy, Hikaru Nakamura, Rey, Anna Cramling, Miguel Pereira, Cramling, Nakamura, Bill Withers, Frank Marshall, Alexander Luke Bahta —, athleisure, you've, it's, Magnus Carlsen, Hans Niemann, Carlsen, Niemann, Dean Mouhtaropoulos, I've, Kasparov, they're, Vladimir Kramnik, Chess.com, Kramnik, Fabiano Caruana, Dan Timbrell, doesn't Organizations: Mechanics ' Institute, Housewives, New, US Chess Federation, FIDE, Washington Post, Marshall Chess Club, Chess, The Guardian, New York, whacking, Computer, YouTube Locations: San Francisco, New York City, Berkeley , California, Greenwich Village, hipsters, American, East, Canadian, Romanian, Netherlands, It's, New York, Russian
Shop at Amazon Shop at Walmart Shop at Best Buy What we like Check mark icon A check mark. Shop at Amazon Shop at Best Buy Shop at Samsung What we like Check mark icon A check mark. Unfortunately, the S95D's matte screen has one notable side effect: it hurts black-level performance in a bright room. In contrast, the elevated black levels caused by the S95D's matte screen are more pronounced and easier to notice. AdvertisementSamsung S95D vs. S95C: Price and availabilityThe S95C currently costs a lot less than the S95D.
Persons: I've, Slim, Steven Cohen, it's Organizations: Business, Samsung, Shop, Walmart Shop, Dolby, Sony, Amazon, Samsung TV
Dollar holds its ground as key inflation data looms
  + stars: | 2024-05-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
U.S. one hundred dollar bills are being shown in this picture illustration taken in Buenos Aires, Argentina, on Dec. 15, 2023. Against the Japanese yen, the dollar slowly inched up after it fell more than 3% last week, its biggest weekly percentage drop since early December 2022. Japan's top currency diplomat Masato Kanda on Thursday reiterated a warning that Tokyo is ready to take action in the currency market. The dollar index rose to 0.05% to 105.55, while the Japanese yen was mostly flat at 155.59 per greenback. The BOE is likely to take another step towards its first interest rate cut in four years as inflation falls.
Persons: Masafumi Yamamoto, Masato Kanda, Susan Collins, Sterling, BOE, bitcoin Organizations: Federal Reserve, Bank of, Mizuho Securities, Traders, PPI, Fed Bank of Boston, European Central Bank Locations: Buenos Aires, Argentina, Japan, U.S, United States, Tokyo,
The website helps facilitate accommodation exchanges between 150,000 users in 145 countries. Then HomeExchange sent me an offer, and I said to my husband, "Shall we give it a go?" The way it works is you subscribe to the website, make a profile, and list your home. We've stayed in places in Australia that are totally off the grid in conservation areas that don't have electricity. I think we've saved well over £100,000 using HomeExchange.
Persons: Julie Williams, HomeExchange, We've, That's, we've, John, I've, Martin, Mia, Monkey Mia, I'm Organizations: Service, NASA Locations: Devon, England, HomeExchange, Italy, Australia, New Zealand, Caribbean, St, Rarotonga, Cook Islands, Tasmania, Singapore, Nevis, Cook, Bali, Hong Kong, Ireland, France, Germany, Switzerland, Denmark, Belgium, Holland, Western Australia
(This is CNBC Pro's live coverage of Wednesday's analyst calls and Wall Street chatter. A closely watched electric vehicle maker and a cloud software company were among the talked stocks by analysts on Tuesday. "We move to Sell given the increased lack of visibility around an inflection in the aforementioned trends," said analyst Kash Rangan. – Samantha Subin 6:19 a.m.: Wall Street reacts to Reddit's first earnings print as a public company Reddit's first earnings report since hitting the public markets in March is garnering some mixed responses from Wall Street analysts. "Its limited production and commercial history leaves much to be seen," he wrote "Rivian must prove it can acquire the customer base, while maintaining low advertising costs."
Persons: there's, Baird, Goldman Sachs, Kash Rangan, Rangan, – Samantha Subin, Mark Shmulik, Reddit, Doug Anmuth, Bank of America's Justin Post, Citi's Ronald Josey, Samantha Subin, Mark Delaney, Rivian, Dan Levy, RIVN, Wells Fargo's Colin Langan, Langan, Datadog Baird, Amit Agarwal, Will Power, DDOG, Power, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, ZoomInfo Technologies, Wall Street, Google, Bank of America's, Barclays, Datadog, Cisco Locations: Rivian, Datadog
Investors looking for protection against market downside are turning toward buffer exchange-traded funds, also known as defined-outcome ETFs. Buffer ETFs have exploded in popularity in recent years, although they are still a small slice over the overall industry. How buffer ETFs work Managers use a set of equity options when building a fund. Recently, Calamos announced a new product line of 12 ETFs that offers 100% downside protection. The first in the line, Calamos S & P 500 Structured Alt Protection ETF (CPSM) , began trading May 1.
Persons: Lan Anh Tran, Morningstar, Tran, Todd Sohn, Strategas, Sohn, Calamos, Russell, Matt Kaufman, Kaufman, Morningstar's Tran, HELO 1Y, It's Organizations: Morningstar, Strategas Securities, Capital Management, Equity, PGIM, Allianz, BlackRock, Treasury, Trust, JPMorgan Hedged Equity, JPMorgan Locations: BlackRock
Goldman Sachs reiterates Nvidia as buy Goldman said it sees a "favorable" risk/reward for shares of Nvidia. Goldman Sachs reiterates ServiceNow as buy Goldman said it's standing by its buy rating on the stock following its financial analyst day. Bank of America reiterates Palantir as buy Bank of America said it's sticking with its buy rating after the company released earnings on Monday. Wells Fargo reiterates Goldman Sachs as overweight Wells increased its price target on Goldman to $504 per share from $450. price target."
Persons: TGT, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, ServiceNow, Wells, Palantir, Wolfe, TD Cowen, Ares, Cowen Organizations: Citi, Target, Nvidia, UBS, Vale, Bank of America, Apple, UL, tailwinds, Artificial Intelligence, Nike, Cameco, Nike Inc, Barclays, CVS Locations: Las Vegas
A recession by early next year could send stocks down 30%, says BCA strategist Roukaya Ibrahim. AdvertisementThere are two factors signaling a recession by year-end or early 2025, and a downturn could spark a 30% correction in stocks, according to BCA strategist Roukaya Ibrahim. "But eventually, the unemployment rate is going to take higher and that's going to lead to concerns about a recession." Ibrahim isn't alone in calling a recession and a steep plunge in the stock market. Wall Street veteran Gary Shilling, known for predicting the mid-2000s mortgage bubble, is also forecasting a 30% stock market crash by the end of this year, with a recession likely to crush speculative bets that have piled up in recent years.
Persons: Roukaya Ibrahim, Gary Shilling, , Ibrahim, Ibrahim isn't Organizations: Wall Street, Service, Bloomberg Locations: Friday's, China, Europe
Goldman Sachs hiked its price target on Nvidia, calling for nearly 20% more gains ahead. The firm upgraded shares of Target to buy from neutral, and reiterated its $180 per share price target. The firm upgraded the clothing retailer to buy from neutral and increased its target price to $28 per share from $21. — Brian Evans 5:45 a.m.: Goldman Sachs raises Nvidia price target on still strong AI demand Goldman Sachs sees enough demand for artificial intelligence to drive sky high Nvidia even higher. The firm reiterated a buy rating on the chipmaker and raised its 12-month price target on the chipmaker to $1,100 from $1,000.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, TGT, Paul Lejuez, — Brian Evans, Wall, Brian Evans, Stephanie Yee, Toshiya Hari, Myles Allsop, Allsop, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Nvidia, UBS, Vale, Citi, Target, JPMorgan, UL Solutions, UL Locations: Monday's, North America, U.S, stoke, RIO
Here are the biggest calls on Wall Street on Monday: Morgan Stanley initiates EHang Holdings as overweight Morgan Stanley said it's bullish on shares of the Asia autonomous aerial vehicle company. Morgan Stanley downgrades Victoria's Secret to underweight from equal weight Morgan Stanley said it sees "underappreciated downside" for the lingerie company. Citi downgrades Peloton to neutral from buy Citi said in its downgrade of the stock that it has "limited visibility." Morgan Stanley upgrades U.S. Steel to overweight from equal weight Morgan Stanley said in its upgrade of U.S. Steel that it likes the company's "transformational investments." Morgan Stanley reiterates Apple as overweight Morgan Stanley said it's sticking with its overweight rating on Apple after analyzing the company's quarterly 10-Q report.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, it's, Baird, Morgan Stanley downgrades, Wells, Bausch, Lomb, Apple, Johnson, MLCO, Moffett, Melius, inferencing, JPMorgan Organizations: EHang Holdings, EH, Deutsche Bank, Disney, Deutsche, Micron, Citi, Comerica, CMA, Steel, U.S . Steel, Apple, Services, UBS, JCI, Barclays, Resorts, Nvidia, Broadcom, AMD, Microsoft, JPMorgan, Group, Bank of America, Santander Brasil, of America Locations: Asia, U.S
Paramount — Shares popped 2.4% following a report that the owner of Paramount Pictures and CBS Entertainment Group began formal acquisition negotiations with a group led by Sony Pictures Entertainment and Apollo. Morgan Stanley downgraded Victoria's Secret to underweight and cut its price target, citing expectations for negative EPS revisions and a tough second half for specialty retail. EHang Holdings — The autonomous aircraft stock advanced 3.2% on the heels of a bullish initiation of research coverage from Morgan Stanley. United States Steel — Shares of the Pittsburgh-based steelmaker rose more than 2% after Morgan Stanley upgraded it to overweight from equal weight. U.S. Steel shares have room to rise thanks to internal improvements, even if the Nippon Steel buyout deal collapses, Morgan Stanley said in a note.
Persons: Warren Buffett, Li, Tyson, Howard Shultz, Morgan Stanley, Coinbase, Bausch, Johnson, , Sarah Min, Tanaya Macheel, Jesse Pound, Michelle Fox, Samantha Subin Organizations: Berkshire Hathaway, Paramount, Paramount Pictures, CBS Entertainment Group, Sony Pictures Entertainment, Spirit Airlines, Li Auto, StreetAccount, Starbucks, EHang Holdings, United States Steel, . Steel, Nippon Steel, Barclays, UBS Locations: Berkshire, China, Pittsburgh
The US economy may already be mired in recession, Danielle DiMartino Booth told Bloomberg TV. Downside labor revisions and rising job losses indicate a downturn has hit, the QI Research CEO said. AdvertisementThe US is already mired in recessionary downturn, and rising job losses prove it, veteran forecaster Danielle DiMartino Booth told Bloomberg TV. AdvertisementBy that standard, the rule was triggered in October of last year, according to recently published labor revisions through the third quarter of 2023, indicating job losses of 192,000. Other analysts have also projected rising recession risk, hand-in-hand with a labor market fallout.
Persons: Danielle DiMartino Booth, , there's, it's, Booth, Goldman Sachs, payrolls, David Rosenberg Organizations: Bloomberg TV, Downside, QI, Service, Bloomberg, Fox Business
The earnings season is winding down, but there are some names slated to report that could see big moves — in either direction. Already, more than 80% of companies in the S & P 500 have already posted quarterly results this earnings season as of Monday morning. Against that backdrop, CNBC Pro screened for names reporting this week — with market caps of $1 billion or more — that could experience sharp up- or downside moves, based on trading activity in the options market. Here are the names that made the list: Upstart Holdings is the reporter this week that could be in for the biggest move at nearly 19%. Rideshare stock Lyft also made the list.
Persons: Uber, America's Mihir Bhatia, Bhatia, Lyft, LSEG, Jefferies, John Colantuoni, Colantuoni, Bank of America's Jessica Reif Ehrlich, Ehrlich, WBD Organizations: Disney, CNBC Pro, Holdings, LSEG, Bank, America's, Warner Bros, Bank of America's Locations: California
Spirit also forecast second-quarter revenue between $1.2 billion and $1.34 billion, below a FactSet estimate of $1.46 billion. Paramount — Shares popped 3.3% following a report that the owner of Paramount Pictures and CBS Entertainment Group began formal acquisition negotiations with a group led by Sony Pictures Entertainment and Apollo . U.S. Steel shares have room to rise due to internal improvements, even if the Nippon Steel buyout deal collapses, Morgan Stanley said in a note. Morgan Stanley said the market is likely overlooking the Canadian-based company's progress on improving core profit margins. Morgan Stanley downgraded the intimate apparel maker to underweight due to expectations for negative earnings per share revisions.
Persons: Baird, Warren Buffett, Morgan Stanley, Tyson, StreetAccount, Bausch, Coinbase, Li Auto, Alex Harring, Jesse Pound, Samantha Subin, Hakyung Kim, Sarah Min, Matthew Staver Organizations: Berkshire Hathaway, Berkshire, Micron Technology, Spirit Airlines, Paramount, Paramount Pictures, CBS Entertainment Group, Sony Pictures Entertainment, United States Steel, . Steel, Nippon Steel, Medical Properties, Health Care, EHang Holdings, Barclays, Micron Technology Inc, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: The Boise , Idaho, Berkshire, Pittsburgh, China, Weibo, Boise , Idaho
6:41 a.m.: Morgan Stanley raises Carvana price target Morgan Stanley likes what it sees from Carvana after its "operational turnaround." The bank reiterated an underweight rating on the used car retailer but raised its price target to $75 per share from $45. "Throughout 2023, CVNA transitioned from a distressed equity into an operational turnaround with a restructured interest burden," Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas said. The firm downgraded the HVAC stock to neutral from buy and lowered its price target to $68 per share from $74. MU YTD mountain MU year to date — Brian Evans 5:45 a.m.: Morgan Stanley upgrades U.S. Steel There's a big buying opportunity in U.S. Steel after a recent pullback this year, according to Morgan Stanley.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Baird, Morgan Stanley's, CVNA, Adam Jonas, — Brian Evans, Wells, Mike Mayo, Mayo, Brian Evans, Johnson, Damian Karas, " Karas, Tristan Gerra, Gerra, Carlos De Alba, Alba, De Alba, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, U.S, Steel, Micron Technology, Wells Fargo, Citi, UBS, Johnson, JCI, Micron, MU, Nippon Steel, U.S . Steel, . Steel Locations: Carvana, Wells Fargo, Friday's, U.S
The two largest pipeline operators in the U.S. are poised to benefit from the data center boom as rising natural gas demand requires billions of dollar of infrastructure investment, according to Goldman Sachs. To satisfy power users, the data center boom could drive $7.4 billion in pipeline investments to boost capacity by 6.1 bcf/d through 2030. Goldman currently rates Kinder Morgan as buy with a stock price target of $20, implying 8% upside from Friday's close of $18.57. Williams Companies' market share stands at 33%, with strong exposure in the Southeast, including the nation's largest data center market in Northern Virignia. The company is the largest natural gas producer in the U.S., responsible for about 6% of total production.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Kinder Morgan, Williams, KMI, Goldman, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Goldman, Williams Companies, Williams, EQT Corp Locations: U.S, Texas, Northern Virignia
A Meta product manager who also worked at Google in a similar role revealed some differences between the tech companies based on his experiences over the past six years. AdvertisementCompany transparencyMeta does maintain some of the transparency the company was known for in its earlier days, McKinnon wrote. At Meta, McKinnon was aware of what other teams were working on, partly through the company's internal forums and dashboards. At Google, employees mostly communicate through email or chat, so it's more difficult to know what everyone is doing, McKinnon wrote. At Google, McKinnon saw that projects were largely created and led by software engineers, and PMs played a more auxiliary role.
Persons: , Daniel McKinnon, Ray, McKinnon, Googlers, Meta's, Mark Zuckerberg, Sundar, Alphabet's, Sundar Pichai wasn't, Zuckerberg, Meta, VPs, Susan Li Organizations: Meta, Google, Service, Unit, Business, Facebook, . Software Engineers Locations: Meta
Dow Jones Industrial Average futures rose 66 points, or around 0.2%. Last week, the Dow and Nasdaq gained 1.1% and 1.4% each, while the S&P 500 gained 0.5%. But the April jobs report helps clear a path to that destination," said Comerica Bank chief economist Bill Adams. While the peak of the first-quarter earnings season has passed, investors are still watching key companies set to report this week, including Dow member Disney on Tuesday and Uber on Wednesday. On the economic front, Richmond Fed president Tom Barkin and New York Fed president John Williams are both scheduled to speak on Monday.
Persons: Dow, Bill Adams, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Uber, Emmanuel Cau, Tom Barkin, John Williams Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, U.S ., Federal Reserve, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Dow, Traders, Comerica Bank, Apple, Disney, Barclays, Richmond Fed, New York Fed Locations: New York City, U.S, U.S . U.S
According to Calamos investments' Matt Kaufman, there are trillions of dollars across CD and money market accounts, and it is a market ETFs should look to capture. "That's larger than almost the ETF space itself," the firm's head of ETFs told CNBC's "ETF Edge" earlier this week. Kaufman, who is in the interest rates will stay higher for longer camp, thinks structured and options ETFs designed for risk management and income can provide stability. "We saw it being difficult to get risk management and income from bonds when rates were so low," he said. Kaufman's firm Calamos just started launching a suite of 12 structured protection ETFs.
Persons: Matt Kaufman, Kaufman, Calamos
Over that time, the non-farm payrolls survey showed that the US economy gained 640,000 jobs. In addition to believing jobs data is distorted, Rosenberg has said in recent months that stock prices and valuations are disconnected from the macroeconomic picture. The chart below shows the AI boom — represented by the yellow line — with AI stocks climbing several hundred percent since 2022. Rosenberg ResearchDownturn or no downturnRosenberg has been notoriously bearish over the last couple of years, repeatedly warning of a recession. Pantheon MacroeconomicsAs Rosenberg points out, the longer the Fed keeps rates elevated, the higher the risk of a recession becomes.
Persons: David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch's Organizations: Labor Statistics, Business, Rosenberg Research, BLS, Dynamics, Federal Reserve, Nvidia, Bloomberg, Treasury
In 2017, at 19 years old, Jack Kellogg became interested in stock trading. AdvertisementIn 2023, he took advantage of the AI hype by trading stocks within that theme. He then reviews these stocks' price movements over the previous three to two weeks. Where it's set depends on how much he's willing to risk on each position and varies based on the stock's price movements. While he's agnostic about the stock's cap size, he favors swing trading mid and sometimes small-cap stocks.
Persons: Jack Kellogg, Timothy Sykes, Kellogg, Kellogg wasn't Organizations: Business, BI, Trust, Nvidia, CXApp Inc
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